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Will Russia's Alabuga plant exceed 8,000 Shahed-131/136 drones by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from the Russian government or verified international monitoring agencies
Story
Russian Alabuga Plant Exceeds Shahed-131/136 Drone Production Targets by August 2024
Sep 28, 2024, 11:10 AM
The Russian Alabuga plant has significantly increased its production capacity for Shahed-131/136 drones, surpassing its initial targets. According to the Institute for Science and International Security, the plant was scheduled to supply 6,000 Shahed drones by September 2025 but achieved this target by August 2024. As of late April 2024, approximately 4,500 drones had already been supplied, with over 6,000 delivered by the end of August 2024. This accelerated production highlights the growing military manufacturing capabilities in Russia.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.4 million • 25%
More than 1.4 million • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 640 • 25%
641 to 800 • 25%
More than 800 • 25%
Less than 3,000 • 25%
3,000 to 3,500 • 25%
3,501 to 4,000 • 25%
More than 4,000 • 25%
Development completed but not deployed • 33%
Development and deployment completed • 33%
Development halted • 33%
Domestic production • 25%
China • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
