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Will Russia retaliate against Ukraine for the drone attack by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian or Ukrainian government or credible news agencies
Story
In Historic First, Ukrainian Magura V5 Drone Shoots Down Russian Helicopter Near Crimea
Dec 31, 2024, 07:51 AM
Ukraine's Defence Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that on December 31, 2024, special unit 'Group 13' of the Ukrainian forces shot down a Russian Mi-8 helicopter using a Magura V5 naval drone equipped with R-73 "SeeDragon" missiles near Cape Tarkhankut in occupied Crimea. This marks the first recorded instance of a naval drone destroying an aerial target. Another Russian Mi-8 helicopter was damaged but managed to return to its base.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Deployment of additional ground troops • 25%
Increased airstrikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
