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Will Russia complete the counterterrorism operation in Belgorod, Bryansk, and Kursk by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Russian government or the National Anti-Terrorism Committee (NAC)
Story
Russia Launches Counterterrorism Operation in Belgorod, Bryansk, Kursk; Dyumin Appointed Coordinator
Aug 13, 2024, 07:57 AM
Russia has initiated a counterterrorism operation in the Belgorod, Bryansk, and Kursk regions in response to recent security threats. The National Anti-Terrorism Committee (NAC) is leading the effort. Aleksey Dyumin, a former bodyguard of President Vladimir Putin and former president of Tula, has been appointed as the coordinator of the counter-terrorist operation in the Kursk region. Dyumin's appointment is seen as a strategic move, with Moscow's direct involvement deemed essential to address the crisis. Dyumin, who previously played a significant role in the annexation of Crimea in 2014, is now tasked with overseeing the defense of Kursk.
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Increased security in affected areas • 25%
Significant reduction in Ukrainian attacks • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful completion • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation into larger conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successfully repels Ukrainian forces • 25%
Fails to repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Russia controls entire region • 25%
Ukraine controls entire region • 25%
Region is contested • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
