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Will RFK Jr.'s campaign form a new political party by November 30, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s campaign
Story
RFK Jr.'s VP Nicole Shanahan Considers Dropping Out to Endorse Trump
Aug 20, 2024, 04:31 PM
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s vice-presidential running mate, Nicole Shanahan, has revealed that the campaign is considering two strategic options: continuing their presidential bid or withdrawing to endorse former President Donald Trump. The decision is driven by concerns about splitting the vote, which could potentially lead to a Kamala Harris and Tim Walz presidency. Shanahan's comments were made during a podcast appearance on Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory, where she emphasized the risk of drawing more votes from Trump than from Harris. The campaign's deliberation comes amid reports of financial constraints and the possibility of forming a new political party. Additionally, there is speculation about the impact of achieving 5% of the vote in shaking up the two-party system.
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Remains Independent • 25%
Joins Republican Party • 25%
Joins Democratic Party • 25%
Other • 25%
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Republican • 33%
Democrat • 33%
Independent • 33%
On both ballots • 25%
On North Carolina ballot only • 25%
On New York ballot only • 25%
On neither ballot • 25%
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