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Will RFK Jr. remain an independent candidate through the 2024 election?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official candidate lists and election results published by the Federal Election Commission (FEC)
Story
Biden Directs Secret Service Protection for RFK Jr., Mayorkas Announces Independent Review
Jul 15, 2024, 07:06 PM
President Joe Biden has directed the Secret Service to provide protection for independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. following an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump on Saturday. Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas confirmed the directive, stating that the Secret Service has enhanced Trump's protection as well. The decision comes after Trump publicly called for Kennedy to receive Secret Service protection. An independent review will examine the circumstances surrounding the incident.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Wins presidency • 25%
Withdraws and endorses Trump • 25%
Withdraws and endorses Biden • 25%
Continues campaign but loses • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Republican • 33%
Democrat • 33%
Independent • 33%
Remains Independent • 25%
Joins Republican Party • 25%
Joins Democratic Party • 25%
Other • 25%
On both ballots • 25%
On North Carolina ballot only • 25%
On New York ballot only • 25%
On neither ballot • 25%