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Will Putin announce a new strategy in response to long-range missile threats by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from President Putin or verified reports from credible news agencies
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Putin Warns West Over Long-Range Missiles to Ukraine; Oversees Nuclear Exercises with Missile Launches
Oct 29, 2024, 12:55 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that Russia will respond if Western nations supply Ukraine with long-range missiles capable of striking deep into Russian territory. Putin stated that he has instructed the Russian Defense Ministry to develop strategies to counter such threats, emphasizing that Moscow would consider various responses if Kyiv's backers proceed with aiding Ukraine in this manner. Amid these tensions, Putin oversaw a strategic nuclear deterrence forces exercise, which included ballistic and cruise missile launches. He declared that while the use of nuclear weapons is an extreme measure to ensure the country's security, it remains a possibility, and Russia needs its nuclear forces to be prepared. Putin also noted that Russia does not wish to participate in an arms race.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Engagement in dialogue • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Accepted by U.S. • 25%
Rejected by U.S. • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Challenge accepted and conducted • 25%
Challenge accepted but not conducted • 25%
Challenge rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Leadership change • 25%
Military strategy change • 25%
Both changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
