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What response will Russia take if Ukraine receives long-range missiles by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements from the Russian government or verified reports from credible news agencies
Story
Putin Warns West Over Long-Range Missiles to Ukraine; Oversees Nuclear Exercises with Missile Launches
Oct 29, 2024, 12:55 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that Russia will respond if Western nations supply Ukraine with long-range missiles capable of striking deep into Russian territory. Putin stated that he has instructed the Russian Defense Ministry to develop strategies to counter such threats, emphasizing that Moscow would consider various responses if Kyiv's backers proceed with aiding Ukraine in this manner. Amid these tensions, Putin oversaw a strategic nuclear deterrence forces exercise, which included ballistic and cruise missile launches. He declared that while the use of nuclear weapons is an extreme measure to ensure the country's security, it remains a possibility, and Russia needs its nuclear forces to be prepared. Putin also noted that Russia does not wish to participate in an arms race.
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Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
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Other or No response • 25%
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Military retaliation from Iran • 25%
Military retaliation from North Korea • 25%
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Cyberattacks on UK or France • 25%
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Increased military action in Ukraine • 25%
Arming NATO adversaries • 25%
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Cyberattacks • 25%
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Ground invasion • 25%
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