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Market
Will protests against FPÖ occur in Vienna by February 28, 2025?
2
Austrian•Alexander Van der Bellen•Herbert Kickl•Freedom Party•FPÖ•Karl Nehammer•Austria•World War II•Kickl•ÖVP•Christian Stocker
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news sources or official statements from protest organizers
Story
Austria's Far-Right Leader Kickl Tasked with Forming Government, Invites Conservatives to Talks
Jan 7, 2025, 01:30 PM
Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen has tasked Herbert Kickl, leader of the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ), with forming a new government after coalition talks collapsed following Chancellor Karl Nehammer's resignation. The FPÖ, which won the September elections, could lead Austria's government for the first time since World War II. Kickl has invited the conservative People's Party (ÖVP) and its new leader Christian Stocker to coalition talks, emphasizing his intention to "govern Austria honestly"—the party's new slogan. The FPÖ's presidium has given the green light for negotiations, and Kickl has warned that failure to reach an agreement could result in snap elections. This development has raised concerns domestically and internationally, with opponents planning protests over the FPÖ's potential ascent to power.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Support decreases • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Support increases • 25%
Support remains the same • 25%
Talks fail, new elections called • 25%
Talks fail, FPÖ forms minority government • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition formed • 25%
FPÖ forms a government • 25%
New elections are held • 25%
ÖVP forms a government • 25%
SPÖ forms a government • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
FPÖ wins majority • 25%
ÖVP wins majority • 25%
SPÖ wins majority • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
EU takes diplomatic action • 25%
EU issues formal statement • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Relations weaken • 25%
Relations strengthen • 25%
Major conflict arises • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
