Loading...
Market
Will Poilievre's approval rating exceed 50% within 100 days as PM?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public opinion polls from reputable organizations such as Ipsos or Angus Reid
Story
Pierre Poilievre, Conservative Party Leader, Has 92% Chance to Succeed Trudeau as Canadian PM
Jan 6, 2025, 04:14 PM
Following the resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre has emerged as the frontrunner to become the next Prime Minister of Canada. According to market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, Poilievre has a 92% chance of assuming the role, with some sources indicating a high of 97%. The resignation of Trudeau, who has been in office for nearly a decade, marks a significant shift in Canadian politics, with Poilievre's conservative stance and opposition to policies associated with 'wokism' gaining traction among the electorate. Described as a Conservative firebrand, Poilievre's potential leadership is anticipated to focus on addressing the country's economic and cultural challenges, as highlighted by various commentators and polls.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Jagmeet Singh • 25%
Justin Trudeau • 25%
Pierre Poilievre • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
70% or higher • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
30% to 49% • 25%
50% to 69% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
