Loading...
Market
Will OpenAI reach $10 billion in profit in a single year by end of 2026?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
OpenAI's official financial reports or major financial news outlets
Story
Microsoft and OpenAI Define AGI as $100 Billion Profit Milestone in 2023 Agreement, May Not Achieve Until 2029
Dec 27, 2024, 01:18 PM
Microsoft and OpenAI have established a financial definition of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), stipulating that AGI will be recognized once OpenAI develops systems capable of generating over $100 billion in profits. This definition arises from an undisclosed agreement made in 2023 between the two companies. Reports indicate that OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, is also considering restructuring OpenAI into a for-profit entity, potentially transforming it into a Delaware Public Benefit Corporation (PBC). This shift aims to enhance capital-raising capabilities while maintaining a commitment to public benefit. OpenAI has indicated that it may not reach the $100 billion profit milestone until 2029 or later. The partnership between Microsoft and OpenAI has been under negotiation since October 2023, focusing on various aspects including revenue sharing and intellectual property rights, amid ongoing discussions about their cloud computing deal.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant profit reported • 25%
Achieve $100 billion profit milestone • 25%
Achieve $50-99 billion profit • 25%
Achieve less than $50 billion profit • 25%
2032 or later • 25%
2029 • 25%
2030 • 25%
2031 • 25%
Increased AI adoption • 25%
New AI innovations • 25%
Strategic partnerships • 25%
Other factors • 25%
