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Market
Will official peace talks occur between Hezbollah and Israel by June 30, 2025?
4
Iraqi•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Shia Islam•Shrine of Imam Reza•Mashhad•Iran•Iraqi Shiite•Nasrallah•Israeli•Beirut
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from governments or recognized international organizations
Story
Iraq Declares Three Days of Mourning After Assassination of Hezbollah Leader Hassan Nasrallah in Israeli Attack
Sep 28, 2024, 12:44 PM
The Iraqi government has declared three days of national mourning following the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. This announcement was made by Iraqi Prime Minister Shia al-Sudani. The black flag, a customary symbol of mourning in Shia Islam, was raised at the Shrine of Imam Reza in Mashhad, Iran. Influential Iraqi Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr also expressed his grief and declared three days of mourning, stating, 'You lived with pride and went as a proud martyr, you and those with you.' Nasrallah and his companions were reportedly killed in an Israeli attack on Beirut.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
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Talks do not occur • 25%
