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Will North Korea produce uranium for 200 nuclear weapons by 2027?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international nuclear monitoring agencies like the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
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DIA Reports China to Exceed 1,000 Nuclear Warheads by 2030; North Korea May Produce Uranium for 200 Weapons by 2027
Oct 23, 2024, 03:15 PM
According to a recent report by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), China is projected to possess over 1,000 nuclear warheads by the year 2030, significantly exceeding previous estimates. The report indicates that China's nuclear capabilities have advanced rapidly, prompting concerns regarding regional and global security. Meanwhile, North Korea is also enhancing its nuclear arsenal, with projections suggesting it could produce enough uranium for as many as 200 nuclear weapons by 2027. Despite this growth, North Korea reportedly still faces substantial gaps in its nuclear capabilities.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in ICBM tests • 25%
Development of new nuclear weapons • 25%
Expansion of nuclear facilities • 25%
No new developments • 25%
Less than 50 warheads • 25%
50 to 100 warheads • 25%
101 to 150 warheads • 25%
More than 150 warheads • 25%
