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Will NIH implement significant policy changes under Bhattacharya by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Jay Bhattacharya•Stanford•National Institutes of Health•NIH•Bhattacharya•Senate•Trump•Health•Human Services
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from NIH or reports from reputable news outlets
Story
Trump Nominates Stanford's Bhattacharya for NIH, Kennedy for HHS
Nov 30, 2024, 06:33 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, a Stanford professor and prominent critic of pandemic lockdowns and vaccine mandates, to lead the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Bhattacharya, known for advocating youth herd immunity during the pandemic and co-authoring a declaration on pandemic policies, will take charge of the nation's leading medical research agency if confirmed by the Senate. If confirmed, Bhattacharya would report to Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump's nominee for Secretary of Health and Human Services, who has been widely criticized for promoting vaccine skepticism and undermining global health policies.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in NIH funding for non-pharmaceutical research • 25%
Reduction in NIH collaborations with pharmaceutical companies • 25%
No significant changes in NIH leadership or policy • 25%
Other significant leadership changes • 25%
COVID-19 Response • 25%
Chronic Disease • 25%
Mental Health • 25%
Other • 25%
Bhattacharya confirmed as Director • 25%
Interim Director appointed • 25%
New nominee proposed • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
CDC • 25%
FDA • 25%
Other • 25%
COVID-19 research • 25%
Chronic diseases • 25%
Mental health • 25%
Other emerging health issues • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Complete leadership change • 25%
Partial leadership change • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%