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Will new international agreements on space debris management be established by end of 2025?
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Mukuku•Makueni County•Kenya•Kenya Space Agency•KSA•India•India Space Research Organisation•Docking Experiment•Spadex•Makueni
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from international space agencies or agreements published in reputable sources
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Kenya Investigates 500-Kilogram Rocket Separation Ring Crash in Mukuku Village, Seeks Compensation from India
Jan 2, 2025, 02:59 PM
A metallic object, identified as a separation ring from a rocket, crashed into Mukuku village in Makueni County, Kenya, on December 30 around 3 p.m. The Kenya Space Agency (KSA) confirmed that the object, weighing approximately 1,100 pounds and measuring about 8 feet in diameter, was retrieved and is under investigation. The KSA stated that the debris poses no immediate threat to public safety and is working to identify its origin. Kenya has notified India of a compensation demand, alleging the debris came from the India Space Research Organisation's Docking Experiment, Spadex, which endangered lives and property in Makueni.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
New international policy • 25%
New US policy • 25%
New Treaty Signed • 25%
Other • 25%
Renewal of INF Treaty • 25%
No New Agreements • 25%
NASA and CNSA • 25%
Other • 25%
CNSA and Roscosmos • 25%
NASA and ESA • 25%
Russia • 25%
India • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Debris origin deemed non-space related • 25%
Identified as SpaDEX • 25%
Identified as another mission • 25%
Debris origin remains unidentified • 25%