Loading...
Market
Will another space debris incident occur in Kenya by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports or official statements from the Kenya Space Agency
Story
500-Kilogram Rocket Debris Falls in Makueni County, Kenya
Jan 1, 2025, 05:17 PM
A metallic object weighing approximately 500 kilograms (1,100 pounds) and measuring 2.5 meters (8 feet) in diameter fell from the sky into Mukuku village, Makueni County, Kenya, on December 30, 2024, at around 3:00 PM local time. The Kenya Space Agency (KSA) has identified the object as a separation ring from a rocket, which is typically designed to burn up upon re-entry into Earth's atmosphere or fall into uninhabited areas. The KSA, working with local authorities, secured the site and retrieved the debris for further investigation. The object poses no immediate threat to public safety, and efforts are underway to determine its origin under international space law. The agency commended the local residents for promptly reporting the incident. This isolated case has raised concerns about space debris and its potential impact on Earth.
View original story
Similar markets
Issue diplomatic complaint • 25%
Enhance space monitoring • 25%
Seek compensation • 25%
No action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened space policy • 25%
Increased international collaboration • 25%
Reduction in space activities • 25%
Origin remains unidentified • 25%
ISRO confirmed as source • 25%
Another country's space agency • 25%
Private space company • 25%
Launch Error • 25%
Other • 25%
Orbital Decay • 25%
Design Flaw • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
ESA • 25%
Other • 25%
CNSA • 25%
NASA • 25%
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%