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Market
Will NATO forces be involved in Ukraine conflict by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official NATO or member state announcements
Story
Trump Names Ex-Adviser Kellogg as Ukraine Envoy to Secure 'Peace Through Strength'
Nov 27, 2024, 06:38 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has nominated retired Lieutenant General Keith Kellogg, 80, as Assistant to the President and Special Envoy for Ukraine and Russia. Kellogg, who previously served as National Security Adviser to Vice President Mike Pence during Trump's first term, has presented a plan to end the war in Ukraine by pushing both Kyiv and Moscow towards negotiations. The plan reportedly includes freezing combat along the current frontlines. Trump stated, 'Together, we will secure peace through strength.' Kellogg has warned that the world is on the 'precipice of World War III.'
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Increased military involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Provide military assistance only • 25%
Engage in direct conflict • 25%
Implement no-fly zone • 25%
Other • 25%
NATO provides only military assistance • 25%
NATO engages in direct conflict • 25%
NATO changes policy but does not engage • 25%
NATO increases sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Troop deployment • 25%
Training centers established • 25%
Logistical support only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Maintain current stance • 33%
Increase support for Ukraine • 33%
Decrease support for Ukraine • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
