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Will more than five GOP senators oppose Kash Patel's confirmation by the vote date?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements or announcements from Republican senators
Story
Elon Musk Warns GOP Senators of Primary Challenges Over Kash Patel Vote
Dec 1, 2024, 05:20 PM
Elon Musk has publicly declared his intention to politically oppose any Republican senators who do not vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director. Musk emphasized that Patel's confirmation is a critical issue for the MAGA movement, describing it as a 'line in the sand.' The Senate, composed of 53 Republican members, is expected to vote on Patel's nomination, with Musk warning that senators opposing Patel will face immediate primary challenges.
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0-5 Senators • 25%
6-10 Senators • 25%
More than 15 Senators • 25%
11-15 Senators • 25%
More than 45 • 25%
Less than 25 • 25%
25 to 35 • 25%
36 to 45 • 25%
51-75 votes against • 25%
0-25 votes against • 25%
26-50 votes against • 25%
76-100 votes against • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Other • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Not Confirmed • 33%
Confirmed • 33%
Confirmed • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No Vote by Deadline • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
No vote by deadline • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%