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VisitWill Mohammed Sinwar be located by Israeli security forces by March 31, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Israeli security forces or major news outlets
50-Year-Old Mohammed Sinwar, Known as 'Shadow', Leads Hamas in Gaza, Boosts Recruitment
Jan 13, 2025, 08:15 PM
Mohammed Sinwar, the younger brother of the late Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, has assumed leadership of the group in the Gaza Strip, according to reports from The Wall Street Journal. Previously heading the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades, the 50-year-old Mohammed Sinwar, known as 'Shadow' for his behind-the-scenes operations, is now leading efforts to rebuild Hamas. The group has been recruiting new fighters at a pace that reportedly exceeds the rate at which the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) can eliminate them, with recruitment efforts taking place at funerals and other gatherings. These new fighters, promised food, aid, and medical care, are engaging in hit-and-run attacks. Mohammed Sinwar is less known to Israeli security compared to his brother, and Israeli officials have stated they are actively working to locate him. The leadership transition comes amid ongoing tensions and military actions in the region.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mohammed Deif • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Other • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Mossad confirmed as responsible • 25%
Another entity confirmed as responsible • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Leadership unchanged • 25%
Leadership transition • 25%
Strengthened leadership • 25%
Weakened leadership • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%