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Will Jordan see a significant increase in refugee inflow from Syria by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) or Jordanian government statistics
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Jordan Closes Borders with Syria After Rebels Capture Nasib Crossing
Dec 6, 2024, 01:35 PM
Jordan has closed all its border crossings with Syria following the capture of the Nasib border crossing by rebel forces, according to the Jordanian Interior Ministry. The decision to close the borders was made due to the security conditions in southern Syria, where an insurgent offensive against the Syrian government is ongoing. The closure includes the Jaber border crossing, the only commercial crossing between the two countries, as announced by Jordan's Interior Minister Mazen al Faraya. This move comes in response to armed groups firing at the Syrian side of the border, prompting concerns over safety and security.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant increase in refugee movements • 25%
Moderate increase in refugee movements • 25%
No significant change in refugee movements • 25%
Decrease in refugee movements • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant Reduction • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Refugee Numbers • 25%
Unclear Outcome • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Germany • 25%
Jordan • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Significant Increase in Returns • 25%
Moderate Increase in Returns • 25%
No Change in Return Rates • 25%
Decrease in Return Rates • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Jordan • 25%
Iraq • 25%