Loading...
Market
What will be the status of the Syrian refugee crisis by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant Reduction • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Refugee Numbers • 25%
Unclear Outcome • 25%
Reports from UNHCR or other credible international refugee organizations
Story
Erdoğan Announces New Era in Syria, Welcomes Fall of Baas Regime and Liberation of Cities
Dec 9, 2024, 04:54 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has declared that a new era has begun in Syria, marking the end of a dark period with the fall of the Baas regime. He announced that cities like Aleppo, Hama, Homs, and Damascus have returned to their rightful owners, signifying the collapse of the 61-year-old Baas dictatorship. Erdoğan also welcomed the liberation of Tel Rifaat and Manbij from terrorist occupation, expressing Turkey's commitment to not tolerating new sources of terrorism beyond its borders. He emphasized Turkey's stance on protecting Syria's territorial integrity and reiterated that Turkey has no territorial ambitions in other countries, focusing instead on combating terrorism. Additionally, Erdoğan announced plans to reopen the Syria border to facilitate the return of refugees, signaling a shift in Turkey's policy towards Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
Significant increase in refugee movements • 25%
Moderate increase in refugee movements • 25%
No significant change in refugee movements • 25%
Decrease in refugee movements • 25%
Resumption of asylum applications • 25%
Increased deportations • 25%
Continued suspension • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority return • 25%
Minority return • 25%
No significant return • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant Increase in Returns • 25%
Moderate Increase in Returns • 25%
No Change in Return Rates • 25%
Decrease in Return Rates • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant increase in humanitarian aid • 25%
Limited international intervention • 25%
New refugee crisis in neighboring countries • 25%
No significant change in international response • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
