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Market
Will Jim Jordan receive more than 10 votes in the Speaker of the House election?
3
Ralph Norman•Jim Jordan•Republican•Mike Johnson•Thomas Massie•Tom Emmer•Byron Donalds•Johnson•House•Norman•Jordan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official voting results published by the U.S. House of Representatives
Story
Defections Undermine Johnson's Bid as Rep. Norman Votes for Jordan in Speaker Race
Jan 3, 2025, 06:24 PM
Rep. Ralph Norman cast his vote for Rep. Jim Jordan in the race for Speaker of the House, becoming the second Republican to defect from supporting nominee Mike Johnson. Earlier, Rep. Thomas Massie voted for Tom Emmer, and Rep. Byron Donalds also voted against Johnson. With these defections and five GOP members abstaining from the vote, Johnson is unlikely to secure the necessary votes to win the speakership on the first ballot. Murmurs broke out on the House floor when Norman voted for Jordan. The voting continues, but the opposition suggests the process may proceed to a second round.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
3 or more defections • 25%
2 defections • 25%
1 defection • 25%
0 defections • 25%
Negative Impact • 33%
Positive Impact • 33%
No Significant Impact • 34%
2 defections • 25%
3 or more defections • 25%
1 defection • 25%
0 defections • 25%
Mike Johnson wins • 25%
Byron Donalds wins • 25%
Another candidate wins • 25%
No winner on first ballot • 25%