Loading...
Market
Will a second round of voting for Speaker of the House occur by January 31, 2025?
3
Ralph Norman•Jim Jordan•Republican•Mike Johnson•Thomas Massie•Tom Emmer•Byron Donalds•Johnson•House•Norman•Jordan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. House of Representatives official schedule and records
Story
Defections Undermine Johnson's Bid as Rep. Norman Votes for Jordan in Speaker Race
Jan 3, 2025, 06:24 PM
Rep. Ralph Norman cast his vote for Rep. Jim Jordan in the race for Speaker of the House, becoming the second Republican to defect from supporting nominee Mike Johnson. Earlier, Rep. Thomas Massie voted for Tom Emmer, and Rep. Byron Donalds also voted against Johnson. With these defections and five GOP members abstaining from the vote, Johnson is unlikely to secure the necessary votes to win the speakership on the first ballot. Murmurs broke out on the House floor when Norman voted for Jordan. The voting continues, but the opposition suggests the process may proceed to a second round.
View original story
Similar markets
Another Republican candidate • 25%
Democratic candidate • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Two rounds • 25%
Three rounds • 25%
More than three rounds • 25%
One round • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Other • 25%
Hakeem Jeffries • 25%
Steve Scalise • 25%
Hakeem Jeffries • 25%
Other • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
No Speaker Elected • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Challenger 2 • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Steve Scalise • 25%
Challenger 1 • 25%
Tom Emmer • 25%
Mike Johnson wins • 25%
Another candidate wins • 25%
No winner on first ballot • 25%
Byron Donalds wins • 25%
Byron Donalds • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Another candidate elected • 25%
No Speaker elected on January 3, 2025 • 25%
Mike Johnson elected on first ballot • 25%
Mike Johnson elected after multiple ballots • 25%
Another Republican elected • 25%
Mike Johnson elected on subsequent ballot • 25%
Mike Johnson elected on first ballot • 25%
Democrat elected • 25%
Vivek Ramaswamy • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Other • 25%