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Will Israel extend its military presence in Southern Lebanon beyond 90 days?
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Israel•United States•Southern Lebanon•Lebanese Army•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•International Criminal Court•Lebanon•Hezbollah
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official military statements from Israel or credible news reports
Story
Israel to Inform U.S. It Will Not Withdraw from Southern Lebanon After 60-Day Ceasefire; Netanyahu Faces ICC Warrant
Jan 4, 2025, 07:44 AM
Israeli media reports indicate that Israel is expected to inform the United States that it will not withdraw its military forces from Southern Lebanon following the completion of a 60-day ceasefire period. This decision is reportedly due to the Lebanese Army's perceived non-compliance with the ceasefire agreement. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is under pressure, facing an International Criminal Court warrant for war crimes, and is reportedly unwilling to provide the current U.S. administration with any diplomatic achievements. Additionally, there are indications that Israel may seek to extend its military presence in Lebanon to 90 days, potentially lasting until April, contingent on the fulfillment of certain objectives related to the ceasefire. The situation remains tense, with ongoing accusations of ceasefire violations from both Israel and Hezbollah.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
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