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Market
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia sign a normalization agreement by the end of 2025?
3
Donald Trump•National Security•Mike Waltz•American•Israeli•Washington•Trump•Gaza•Waltz•Israel•Hamas•CBS•Face the Nation•Saudi Arabia•Abraham Accords
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the governments of Israel or Saudi Arabia
Story
Trump's Adviser Mike Waltz Commits to Gaza Deal, Vows U.S. Support for Israel Against Hamas
Jan 19, 2025, 01:41 PM
President-elect Donald Trump's incoming National Security Adviser, Mike Waltz, met with American and Israeli hostage families in Washington to affirm the Trump administration's commitment to implementing all phases of the Gaza hostage and ceasefire deal. Waltz emphasized that the U.S. would support Israel if Hamas reneges on the agreement. He also stated that Hamas will never govern Gaza, a position he reiterated in an interview on CBS's 'Face the Nation.' Waltz's comments come as part of broader discussions on U.S. policy towards the region, including potential normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia as part of the Abraham Accords.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Normalization contingent on Palestinian statehood • 25%
Normalization contingent on Gaza ceasefire • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
No normalization • 25%
No Significant Outcome • 25%
Normalization Agreement Signed • 25%
Hostage Deal Only • 25%
Gaza Reconstruction Agreement Only • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Explicit recognition of Palestinian statehood • 25%
Other • 25%
Vague commitment to Palestinian statehood • 25%
No commitment to Palestinian statehood • 25%
Vague Commitment • 25%
Other • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Detailed Roadmap • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
