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Will Iran's GDP increase by 5% in 2025 due to cryptocurrency regulation?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official GDP reports from the Iranian government or international financial institutions
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Iran Regulates Crypto, Bans as Payment to Boost Economy, Counter Sanctions
Dec 9, 2024, 04:40 AM
Iran is shifting its stance on cryptocurrencies, moving from imposing restrictions to introducing regulations. The Central Bank of Iran has issued a new directive allowing the operation of cryptocurrencies within the country, but explicitly prohibits their use as a payment tool in place of the rial. Iranian Finance Minister Abdolnaser Hemmati has outlined plans to leverage digital currencies for economic growth, job creation for the youth, and as a means to counter US sanctions. This regulatory pivot aims to align Iran with global financial trends and potentially harness the significant crypto holdings of Iranians, estimated to be between $30 billion and $50 billion, with daily trades of $10 billion, 20% of which occur externally, for economic benefit.
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Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
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GDP growth rate increases by 1% or more • 25%
GDP growth rate increases by less than 1% • 25%
GDP growth rate remains stable • 25%
GDP growth rate decreases • 25%
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10% to 25% • 25%
26% to 50% • 25%
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