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Will Iran seek a diplomatic resolution with Israel by end of 2024?
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Iran•Masoud Pezeshkian•Israeli•Tehran•Pezeshkian•Ali Khamenei•Supreme National Security Council•Khamenei•Iranian•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Iranian government or international diplomatic channels
Story
Iran's Khamenei Says Israel 'Made a Mistake' After Friday Night Attack; Officials to Decide Response
Oct 27, 2024, 07:54 AM
Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian held an emergency meeting with military leaders following Friday night's Israeli attack on Tehran. In his first reaction, Pezeshkian asserted that Iran would respond fearlessly and wisely to any act of folly targeting their country. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei attended an emergency meeting of the Supreme National Security Council, where damage from the Israeli attack was presented. Khamenei stated that Iranian officials should determine how best to demonstrate Iran's power to Israel, emphasizing that the recent Israeli strikes should neither be exaggerated nor underestimated. He remarked that 'Israel made a mistake in its calculations,' refraining from calling for immediate retaliation and suggesting a cautious approach.
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Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
New diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Direct talks • 25%
Mediated talks • 25%
No talks • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%