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Will Governor Caiado's ineligibility ruling be overturned by the end of 2025?
3
Ronaldo Caiado•União Brasil•Sandro Mabel•Goiânia•Palácio das Esmeraldas•Caiado•Mabel•Cláudia Lira•Avante
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements or court documents from the Regional Electoral Court of Goiás
Story
Goiás Governor Caiado and Goiânia Mayor-Elect Mabel Ineligible for Eight Years Due to Political Power Abuse
Dec 11, 2024, 02:20 PM
The Regional Electoral Court of Goiás (TRE-GO) has ruled Governor Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil) and Sandro Mabel (União Brasil), the elected mayor of Goiânia, ineligible for eight years due to political power abuse during the recent municipal elections. The court's decision was based on the use of the Palácio das Esmeraldas for political events, which were deemed as an unfair advantage. Both Caiado, who was elected with over 1.8 million votes, and Mabel, who won with 55.53% of the votes, have the right to appeal the decision. Caiado's allies express optimism about overturning the ruling. This ruling also affects the vice-mayor-elect, Cláudia Lira (Avante), who was similarly condemned.
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STF (Supreme Federal Court) • 25%
TSE (Supreme Electoral Court) • 25%
TRE-GO • 25%
Other • 25%
Modified Ruling • 34%
Ruling Upheld • 33%
Ruling Overturned • 33%
Ineligible for a reduced term • 25%
Ineligible for 8 years • 25%
Reinstated as eligible • 25%
Other • 25%
Appeal withdrawn or not pursued • 25%
Partial success, ineligibility period reduced • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, ineligibility upheld • 25%
Appeal successful, ineligibility overturned • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Mandate Upheld • 25%
Mandate Revoked • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Moraes disqualified • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Moraes not disqualified • 25%