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Market
Political impact in Goiás due to Caiado and Mabel's ineligibility by end of 2025
2
Ronaldo Caiado•União Brasil•Sandro Mabel•Goiânia•Palácio das Esmeraldas•Caiado•Mabel•Cláudia Lira•Avante
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant shift in political power • 25%
Minor shift in political power • 25%
No change in political power • 25%
Increase in political instability • 25%
Analysis from political commentators and electoral results
Story
Goiás Governor Caiado and Goiânia Mayor-Elect Mabel Ineligible for Eight Years Due to Political Power Abuse
Dec 11, 2024, 02:20 PM
The Regional Electoral Court of Goiás (TRE-GO) has ruled Governor Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil) and Sandro Mabel (União Brasil), the elected mayor of Goiânia, ineligible for eight years due to political power abuse during the recent municipal elections. The court's decision was based on the use of the Palácio das Esmeraldas for political events, which were deemed as an unfair advantage. Both Caiado, who was elected with over 1.8 million votes, and Mabel, who won with 55.53% of the votes, have the right to appeal the decision. Caiado's allies express optimism about overturning the ruling. This ruling also affects the vice-mayor-elect, Cláudia Lira (Avante), who was similarly condemned.
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Similar markets
Reinstated as eligible • 25%
Ineligible for 8 years • 25%
Ineligible for a reduced term • 25%
Other • 25%
Ruling Overturned • 33%
Ruling Upheld • 33%
Modified Ruling • 34%
Sandro Mabel • 25%
Cláudia Lira • 25%
A candidate from PT • 25%
Other • 25%
Imprisonment • 25%
House arrest • 25%
Exile • 25%
No significant consequence • 25%
TRE-GO • 25%
TSE (Supreme Electoral Court) • 25%
STF (Supreme Federal Court) • 25%
Other • 25%
Appeal successful, ineligibility overturned • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, ineligibility upheld • 25%
Partial success, ineligibility period reduced • 25%
Appeal withdrawn or not pursued • 25%