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Market
Will Gordon Black receive a pardon or sentence reduction by August 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Russian government announcements, news reports
Story
U.S. Soldier Gordon Black Loses Appeal on Nearly Four-Year Russian Sentence for $113 Theft
Aug 19, 2024, 02:32 AM
Gordon Black, a U.S. soldier, has lost his appeal against a nearly four-year prison sentence in Russia. Black was sentenced in June to a Russian penal colony after being found guilty of stealing $113 from his girlfriend and making threats to kill her. The appeal was reported to have been lost on Monday, according to RIA agency reports. Black was detained in Vladivostok.
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Jail Time • 50%
No Jail Time • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Released to U.S. • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority support for release • 25%
Majority support for sentence • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Low public interest • 25%