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Will Google announce a commercial application of fault-tolerant quantum computing by August 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Google announcements, press releases, or major news outlets reporting on Google
Story
Google Achieves 101-Qubit Quantum Error Correction, Paving Way for Fault-Tolerant Computing
Aug 27, 2024, 01:05 PM
Google has achieved a significant milestone in quantum computing by demonstrating quantum error correction below the surface code threshold. This breakthrough, achieved by the Google Quantum AI team, involves a logical qubit composed of 101 physical qubits that lasted 2.4 times longer than the best physical qubit. The implementation of a 101-qubit surface code has shown that each time the distance is increased by two, the logical error rate is halved. This advancement is a critical step towards practical fault-tolerant quantum computing, proving that fault-tolerant quantum computing is possible.
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Yes, in a Google product • 25%
Yes, in a non-Google product • 25%
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