Loading...
Market
Will evidence implicating Indian officials in Nijjar's assassination be publicly released by mid-2025?
2
Indian•Narendra Modi•Hardeep Singh Nijjar•Sikh•British Columbia•Modi•National Security•Ajit Doval•Canada•India•Canadian•Justin Trudeau•Nijjar
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Release of evidence through credible news outlets or official government reports
Story
Canadian Agencies Suspect Modi Knew of Hardeep Singh Nijjar Assassination Plot in British Columbia, Heightening India-Canada Tensions
Nov 20, 2024, 10:53 AM
Canadian security agencies have raised suspicions that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi was aware of the plot to assassinate Hardeep Singh Nijjar, a Sikh activist, in British Columbia. A senior national-security official indicated that Modi, along with National Security Advisor Ajit Doval, was informed about the plans. This allegation has intensified tensions between Canada and India, particularly following Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's earlier claims regarding Nijjar's death, which he labeled as an act of terrorism. Intelligence sources have warned that naming high-level officials without evidence could jeopardize diplomatic relations between the two countries.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Indian diplomats cleared • 25%
Indian diplomats implicated • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
India found complicit • 25%
India cleared of involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Indian diplomats found involved • 25%
No involvement of Indian diplomats • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Condemnation of India • 25%
Support for India • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
No Response • 25%
India involvement confirmed • 25%
India involvement not confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other conclusion • 25%