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Will Estonia or its allies accuse Russia of a new cyberattack by GRU unit 29155 by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or reports from Estonia, its allies, or international investigative bodies
Story
Estonia, Allies, and NSA Report Accuse Russia of Cyberattacks Since 2020
Sep 6, 2024, 07:34 AM
Estonia, along with its allies including Ukraine, has been targeted by cyberattacks attributed to Russia's military intelligence GRU unit 29155. The attacks, which have been ongoing since 2020, were confirmed by an international investigation involving NATO and EU members. Estonia's Security Police played a significant role in establishing the involvement of the GRU. The United States and other allied nations have also accused Russia of similar cyberattacks. A new NSA report pins Russian military hackers for U.S. attacks since 2020. Estonia has vowed not to be deterred from supporting Ukraine despite these cyber threats.
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Germany • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
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No • 50%
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No • 50%
Phishing • 25%
Malware • 25%
DDoS • 25%
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United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other NATO country • 25%
Phishing attacks • 25%
Ransomware • 25%
DDoS attacks • 25%
Supply chain attacks • 25%
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