Loading...
Market
Will Elon Musk's influence be acknowledged in a major US policy decision by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government announcements or major news reports citing Elon Musk's influence
Story
Trump Dismisses Claims of Musk Becoming President at Turning Point USA Conference, Citing South African Birth
Dec 22, 2024, 09:09 PM
In response to claims that Elon Musk might assume the presidency, Donald Trump firmly dismissed the notion during a recent event. Speaking to supporters at a Turning Point USA conference, Trump stated, "No, he’s not going to be President, that I can tell you. I’m safe. You know why? He can’t be. He wasn’t born in this country." Trump's comments were made in light of media narratives suggesting Musk's influence in the government, with Trump acknowledging Musk's contributions but emphasizing that he cannot hold the presidency due to his South African birth. The former president expressed appreciation for Musk's capabilities, stating, "Isn’t it nice to have smart people that we can rely on?" However, he reiterated that Musk's citizenship status precludes him from the presidency, further asserting, "I like having the smart people."
View original story
Similar markets
Unclear • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Space policy • 25%
Energy policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Technology regulation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No official role • 25%
Lobbyist • 25%
Advisor • 25%
Other roles • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Positive • 25%
Negative • 25%
Formal Advisory Role • 25%
Informal Advisor • 25%
Collaborative Projects • 25%
No Involvement • 25%