Loading...
Market
Will Donald Trump win Pennsylvania in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official results from the Pennsylvania State Election Board
Story
NYT Needle Shows Trump Slightly Favored in 2024 Election, 276-262
Nov 6, 2024, 01:23 AM
The New York Times' election forecast tool, known as the 'needle,' has gone live, showing Donald Trump as the slight favorite to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Current projections indicate Trump leading in key battleground states, including Georgia (+1.5), North Carolina (+1.3), and Pennsylvania (+0.1). The needle estimates Trump securing 276 electoral votes to Joe Biden's 262. Additionally, Trump is given a 65% chance of winning Arizona, 66% in Georgia, and 57% in North Carolina. These projections, posted at 8:19 p.m. ET, are based on early voting data and are subject to change as more votes are counted. Trump is also estimated to win Pennsylvania with +0.2.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Other • 25%
No winner declared by December 2024 • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other Candidate • 34%
Other • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Undecided/No Majority • 25%
Other Candidate • 34%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 34%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other • 34%