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Market
Will Donald Trump announce his retirement from politics if he loses in 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements from Donald Trump and credible news sources
Story
Trump Rules Out 2028 Presidential Bid If He Loses to Kamala Harris in November
Sep 22, 2024, 08:15 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced that he will not run for the U.S. presidency in 2028 if he loses the upcoming election in November 2024 to Kamala Harris. In an interview aired on Sunday, Trump stated, 'No, I don’t. I think that that will be it. I don’t see that at all.' This statement was reiterated across multiple platforms, confirming that Trump views the 2024 election as his final bid for the White House if he is not successful.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Will not run in 2028 • 25%
Will run in 2028 • 25%
Undecided • 25%
No announcement • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Runs for another office • 25%
Remains politically active without running • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retires from politics • 25%
Focuses on media ventures • 25%
Supports another candidate • 25%
Remains active in Republican Party • 25%
