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Market
What will Donald Trump's political role be after the 2024 election if he loses?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retires from politics • 25%
Continues in political activism • 25%
Forms a new political party • 25%
Other • 25%
Public statements from Donald Trump and credible news sources
Story
Trump Rules Out 2028 Presidential Bid If He Loses to Kamala Harris in November
Sep 22, 2024, 08:15 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced that he will not run for the U.S. presidency in 2028 if he loses the upcoming election in November 2024 to Kamala Harris. In an interview aired on Sunday, Trump stated, 'No, I don’t. I think that that will be it. I don’t see that at all.' This statement was reiterated across multiple platforms, confirming that Trump views the 2024 election as his final bid for the White House if he is not successful.
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Private Citizen • 25%
Political Commentator • 25%
Republican Party Leader • 25%
Other Political Role • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Focuses on media ventures • 25%
Supports another candidate • 25%
Remains active in Republican Party • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Runs for another office • 25%
Remains politically active without running • 25%
Other • 25%
Will not run in 2028 • 25%
Will run in 2028 • 25%
Undecided • 25%
No announcement • 25%
Imprisoned • 25%
Not Imprisoned • 25%
House Arrest • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Retirement • 25%
Advisor • 25%
Cabinet Position • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues Support • 25%
Withdraws Support • 25%
Faces Legal Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Wins the election • 25%
Loses the election • 25%
Withdraws from the race • 25%
Other • 25%
Actively campaigning • 25%
Limited campaigning • 25%
Withdrawn from race • 25%
Other • 25%
Return to Senate • 25%
Join a think tank or advocacy group • 25%
Retire from politics • 25%
Other political role • 25%