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Market
Will Disney Treasure's rescue lead to maritime policy changes by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No policy changes • 25%
New training protocols • 25%
New equipment requirements • 25%
Both new training and equipment requirements • 25%
Announcements from maritime authorities or policy documents
Story
Ahead of Maiden Voyage, Disney Treasure Rescues Four from Sinking Catamaran Off Bermuda
Nov 11, 2024, 03:00 PM
On Sunday, November 10, the brand-new Disney Cruise Line ship, the Disney Treasure, which is not yet officially in service, rescued four people from a sinking catamaran off the coast of Bermuda. The 50-foot catamaran, named Serenity, began taking on water approximately 265 miles off Bermuda when the U.S. Coast Guard received a distress call. The Disney Treasure, en route from Eemshaven, Netherlands, to Port Canaveral, Florida, was the nearest vessel and responded promptly. The crew launched a small rescue boat and successfully brought all four passengers aboard. The ship is scheduled to arrive at Port Canaveral on Tuesday, November 12.
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Before June 30, 2025 • 25%
Between July 1 and September 30, 2025 • 25%
Between October 1 and December 31, 2025 • 25%
Not by December 31, 2025 • 25%
Yes, a lawsuit is filed • 33%
No lawsuit filed but formal investigation launched • 33%
No lawsuit or investigation • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Implemented new pay policies • 25%
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No significant changes • 25%
Other actions taken • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Court ruling in favor of DOJ • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Dali ship owners • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor violations found • 25%
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Criminal charges recommended • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Return to their home countries • 25%
Continue working on other ships • 25%
Remain in EU custody • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
