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Will Congress take action in response to Trump's clemency for Jan. 6 convicts by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Congressional records or major news outlets reporting on legislative actions
Story
Trump to Grant Clemency to Over 1,000 Jan. 6 Convicts as First Act in Office
Jan 6, 2025, 12:40 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to grant clemency to over 1,000 individuals convicted in connection with the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol. This move is anticipated to be among his first actions upon taking office, reflecting his campaign promises to address the treatment of those involved in the riot. The potential pardons have sparked debate, with some viewing it as a reward for loyalty to Trump, while others see it as undermining the justice system's response to the attack.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation from both parties • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Support from Republicans • 25%
Condemnation from Democrats only • 25%
Increased oversight • 25%
No legislative action • 25%
New clemency restrictions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
1000-1499 • 25%
1500+ • 25%
0-499 • 25%
500-999 • 25%
