Loading...
Market
Will China agree to compensate Finland and Estonia for the Balticconnector damage by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Finnish, Estonian, or Chinese governments
Story
China Admits Ship Damaged Balticconnector Gas Pipeline Accidentally
Aug 12, 2024, 10:41 AM
China has admitted that a Hong Kong-flagged ship, owned by the Chinese firm NewNew Shipping Line, was responsible for damaging the critical Balticconnector gas pipeline between Estonia and Finland last October. The incident, involving the vessel NewNew Polar Bear, is currently under joint criminal investigation by Finland and Estonia. Beijing has communicated its findings to both countries, asserting that the damage was accidental.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
State Actor • 25%
Non-State Actor • 25%
Technical Fault • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Repair of existing cables • 25%
Installation of new cables • 25%
Temporary alternative solutions • 25%
Combination of methods • 25%
Joint EU investigation • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Linked • 33%
Not linked • 33%
Inconclusive • 34%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other state actor • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Accidental digging • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental damage during construction • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
