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Will Canada cut off energy to Michigan by March 31, 2025?
4
Ontario•Doug Ford•United States•Canada•Michigan•New York•Wisconsin•Donald Trump•Canadian•Ford•Justin Trudeau•Trudeau•Chrystia Freeland•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Canadian government or energy companies, corroborated by news reports
Story
Canada Threatens U.S. Energy Cutoff to Michigan, New York, Wisconsin Over Trump's 25% Tariff Plan
Dec 12, 2024, 01:03 AM
Ontario Premier Doug Ford has issued a stern warning to the United States, stating that Canada is prepared to cut off energy supplies to Michigan, New York, and Wisconsin if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his promise to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian goods. This response comes as part of Canada's broader strategy to retaliate against the proposed tariffs, with Ford emphasizing that Canada will use 'every tool in our toolbox' to fight back. The warning was issued immediately after a meeting of Canada's premiers with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and members of the federal cabinet, where the leaders urged Trudeau to prepare a 'robust' retaliation plan. Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland confirmed that discussions were held to address the potential economic impact of Trump's tariff plan.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Multiple Provinces Including Ontario • 25%
Ontario Only • 25%
Other Provinces Without Ontario • 25%
No Provinces Implement Cut-off • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Negotiations • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Energy exports cut • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
Counter tariffs imposed • 25%
Legal action taken • 25%
No response • 25%
Michigan • 25%
New York • 25%
All listed states • 25%
Wisconsin • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Seek alternative energy sources • 25%
Negotiate with Ontario • 25%
Retaliatory measures • 25%