Polling data from reputable sources such as The Economist, Decision Desk HQ, and USA TODAY/Suffolk

Trump Leads in Polls, Gains Support Among Black Voters, Up 18 Points in Iowa

Jun 17, 2024, 03:08 PM

Recent polling data indicates a significant shift in the 2024 U.S. Presidential race, with former President Donald Trump showing strong leads in several key metrics. According to The Economist, Trump has a 69% chance of winning the presidency, with an electoral college forecast of 301 votes to Biden's 237. Another forecast by Decision Desk HQ gives Trump a 56% chance of winning, with 279 electoral votes to Biden's 259. Polls among Black voters in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan reveal Biden's support has dropped significantly compared to 2020. In Pennsylvania, Biden leads with 56% among Black voters, but Trump has gained 11%, and other candidates like West and Kennedy have also made inroads. In Michigan, Biden's support is at 54%, with Trump at 15%. Additionally, a new poll by McLaughlin & Associates shows Trump leading Biden by 2 points in Minnesota. Trump's approval among Black voters has notably increased, with CNN reporting potential historic gains for a Republican candidate. In Iowa, Trump leads Biden by 18 points, a significant increase from his 8-point lead in 2020, according to a Des Moines Register/Ann Selzer poll. USA TODAY/Suffolk polls highlight Biden's declining support among Black voters in Michigan and Pennsylvania.