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Will Azerbaijan conduct a major military operation in response to the Islamic State attack by November 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Azerbaijani government and verified news reports
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Western Intelligence Chiefs in Azerbaijan Amid Islamic State Attack in Qusar, 8 Soldiers Killed
Sep 19, 2024, 09:56 PM
Western intelligence chiefs have arrived in Azerbaijan amid reports of Islamic State insurgent operations in the country. The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for an attack on Azerbaijani forces in the Qusar district, which resulted in eight soldiers being killed or wounded. This marks the first officially claimed operation by the group in Azerbaijan, although they have previously highlighted a cell in the country. The attack took place on September 14 in the forest of Qusar, near the Russian border, resulting in '8 morts' on the forces' side and 'plusieurs moujahidin' casualties.
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Increased military operations • 25%
Enhanced border security • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
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Increased internal security measures • 25%
New alliances with foreign nations • 25%
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