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Will any of the 95 Libyan nationals be charged with terrorism-related offenses in South Africa by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
South African court records or official police statements
Story
95 Libyan Nationals Arrested in Mpumalanga at Suspected ISIS-Linked Military Camp
Jul 26, 2024, 09:55 AM
South African authorities have detained 95 Libyan nationals following a raid on a suspected secret military training camp in Mpumalanga. The camp, located just outside White River, was discovered by local police. The detainees, who were found using false visas, are currently being questioned by Home Affairs officials. Investigations are ongoing to determine if the camp is linked to other criminal activities, including potential connections to ISIS training camps. Mpumalanga police spokesperson Donald Mdhluli has confirmed the arrests and stated that the individuals are being processed for repatriation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Illegal military training • 25%
Immigration violations • 25%
Criminal activities • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Repatriated to Libya • 25%
Charged and imprisoned in South Africa • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic reasons • 25%
Lack of evidence • 25%
Procedural error • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Terrorism-related • 25%
Weapons possession • 25%
Conspiracy • 25%
Other • 25%
Facility shut down • 25%
Facility continues operations • 25%
Changes in management • 25%
Other • 25%