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Will any court uphold Trump's immunity claim in 2020 election case by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court rulings and official court documents
Story
Prosecutors Say Trump 'Resorted to Crimes' After 2020 Loss, Not Entitled to Immunity
Oct 2, 2024, 08:43 PM
Federal prosecutors have alleged in court filings unsealed on Wednesday that former President Donald Trump 'resorted to crimes' in an unsuccessful attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. Special Counsel Jack Smith's team outlined new details of Trump's 'increasingly desperate' efforts to remain in power, arguing that he is not entitled to immunity from prosecution. The filings reveal that, despite losing the election and disregarding advice from his Vice President and other aides, Trump and his allies engaged in a series of actions aiming to undermine the legitimate electoral process.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Granted • 25%
Denied • 25%
Partially Granted • 25%
Pending • 25%
Immunity granted • 25%
Immunity denied • 25%
Case deferred • 25%
Other • 25%
Uphold Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Overturn Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Remand for further consideration • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Charges dismissed • 25%
Charges reduced • 25%
No change in charges • 25%
New charges added • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Further Expansion of Immunity • 25%
Reaffirmation of Current Ruling • 25%
Partial Rollback • 25%
Complete Rollback • 25%
Immunity Upheld • 25%
Immunity Limited • 25%
Immunity Overturned • 25%
No Ruling • 25%
Ruling favors Trump • 33%
Ruling favors prosecution • 33%
No significant impact on case • 33%