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Will an accidental military clash occur between North and South Korea by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible international news organizations
Story
North Korea to Cut Off Road and Rail Links to South Korea from October 9, Fortify Border Areas
Oct 9, 2024, 05:58 AM
North Korea has announced that it will completely cut off all road and railway connections to South Korea starting from October 9, 2024. This move, reported by the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA), is seen as a response to ongoing military drills and the presence of U.S. nuclear assets in the region. The North Korean army has stated that it will also fortify the areas on its side of the border. The decision aims to permanently shut off and block the southern border, citing self-defence against 'confrontational hysteria' by South Korean and U.S. forces. North Korea has informed the U.S. military to prevent any accidental clashes.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Border skirmish • 25%
Naval incident • 25%
Airspace violation • 25%
No incident • 25%
Increased sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
