Loading...
Market
Will Ahmad al-Sharaa remain leader of HTS through 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from HTS or credible news outlets
Story
US Cancels $10 Million Bounty on HTS Leader Ahmad al-Sharaa
Dec 20, 2024, 07:00 PM
The United States has cancelled the $10 million bounty under the Rewards for Justice program on Ahmad al-Sharaa, also known as Abu Mohammad al-Julani, the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and the new de facto leader of Syria. US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs Barbara Leaf announced the decision after meeting with al-Sharaa in Damascus. Leaf stated that al-Sharaa pledged not to allow terrorist groups to operate in Syria and threaten the US or neighboring countries.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Remains leader • 25%
Steps down voluntarily • 25%
Removed by internal HTS decision • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
National Army formation • 25%
Federal governance model • 25%
Tribal governance model • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Announces inclusive policies • 25%
Continues current policies • 25%
Reverses current policies • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
No Change • 25%
Mohammad Deif • 25%
Rafaa Salameh • 25%
Another known Hamas leader • 25%
Unknown new leader • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Other • 25%