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VisitWill a new coalition or alliance form in response to Iran's nuclear capabilities by December 31, 2025?
Yes, a new coalition is formed • 25%
Yes, an existing alliance is strengthened • 25%
No new coalition or alliance is formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Announcements from governments or credible international news sources
IAEA Report: Iran Can Produce Enough Uranium for Ten Nuclear Weapons in One Month, One Weapon in a Week
Nov 20, 2024, 02:03 PM
According to the latest quarterly report from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran has significantly accelerated its nuclear capabilities. The report indicates that Iran can now produce enough weapons-grade uranium (WGU) for nearly ten nuclear weapons within a month, a notable decrease in breakout timelines compared to August. Specifically, the report suggests that Iran could generate sufficient material for one nuclear weapon in just one week, and up to ten within 30 days. Furthermore, Iranian officials have stated that their nuclear program is non-negotiable and warned that they could produce military-grade nuclear weapons in as little as 24 hours, amid rising tensions and perceived threats.
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New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Iran gains new allies • 25%
Israel gains new allies • 25%
Both gain new allies • 25%
No change in alliances • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
None • 25%
1-2 Countries • 25%
3-5 Countries • 25%
More than 5 Countries • 25%
Formal military alliance • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Informal support agreements • 25%
No new alliances • 25%
Complete suspension of nuclear program • 25%
Continuation with increased transparency • 25%
No change in current policy • 25%
Acceleration of nuclear development • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Turkey • 25%
None • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes, significant conflict occurs • 25%
Minor skirmishes occur • 25%
No military conflict occurs • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes, existing agreements are modified • 25%
No agreement or treaty is reached • 25%
Yes, a new agreement is reached • 25%