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Will a legal challenge be filed against the deportation bill by September 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court records or major news outlets reporting on the legal challenge
Story
House Passes Bill by Nancy Mace to Deport Undocumented Sex Offenders Amid Partisan Divide
Jan 5, 2025, 04:22 AM
In September 2024, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill to deport undocumented immigrants convicted of sex crimes. The bill received unanimous support from Republican lawmakers and 51 Democratic representatives, while 158 Democrats opposed it. The legislation, sponsored by Representative Nancy Mace, has sparked significant political debate, with critics questioning the decision of those who voted against the measure. A full list of the 158 Democratic representatives who opposed the bill, including prominent names such as Pete Aguilar, Judy Chu, and Terri Sewell, has been circulated online, drawing attention to the partisan divide on the issue.
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No challenges • 25%
Federal court challenges • 25%
State court challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Court orders halting operations • 25%
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Single lawsuit filed • 25%
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Yes • 50%