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Will a foreign state be confirmed to have been involved in the pager blasts by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hezbollah's Nasrallah Unharmed in Today's Pager Blasts in Lebanon
Sep 17, 2024, 04:16 PM
Hezbollah's Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah was not harmed in a series of pager explosions across Lebanon today, according to a senior Hezbollah source who spoke to Reuters. The blasts, referred to as the Beeper attack, occurred on Tuesday, but Nasrallah remained uninjured. This information was confirmed by multiple sources within the group.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Evidence implicating Gold Apollo • 25%
Evidence implicating BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
Evidence implicating both companies • 25%
Mossad (Israel) • 25%
CIA (USA) • 25%
GRU (Russia) • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Taiwanese company responsible • 25%
Hungarian company responsible • 25%
Other country/company responsible • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
A foreign government • 25%
Other • 25%
