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Will a Democratic candidate win the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by the Federal Election Commission
Story
Trump May Win Popular Vote in Close 2024 Election, First Republican in 20 Years, Says CNN Analysis
Oct 25, 2024, 01:43 PM
Recent polling data indicates that Donald Trump may have a significant chance of winning the popular vote in the upcoming 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Analysts note that the race is currently very close nationally, with Trump performing better than in previous elections in 2016 and 2020. If he succeeds, Trump would become the first Republican to win the popular vote in two decades and only the second in the last 36 years. This potential shift has prompted concerns among Democratic supporters, as highlighted by various commentators referencing CNN's analysis on the matter.
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